jordan pulse -

By: Ahmad Abdelbaset Rjoub

Jordanian Researcher and Writer

Amid conflicting reports of an impending ceasefire agreement in Gaza, the broader landscape of negotiations between Israel and Hamas—mediated by Egypt, Qatar, and the U.S.—remains governed by "delayed optimism." While statements about "imminent breakthroughs" circulate regularly, tangible progress on the ground remains elusive. So, what are the sticking points? And can a sustainable truce be achieved amid such complex unresolved issues?

1. Repetition Without Results

Since the war began, cautious optimism has followed a familiar script—from remarks by U.S. President Donald Trump, to leaks from various mediation efforts, and most recently, the visit of White House envoy Steve Witkoff to the region. Yet, observers confirm that "white smoke" (a signal of agreement) is nowhere near the horizon.

*"We hear daily about a 60-day truce, but it evaporates before implementation,"* says a source close to the negotiations.

2. Mutual Accusations and the Problem of a One-Sided Narrative

In a diplomatic escalation, U.S. hostage envoy Adam Pollock accused Hamas of "obstructing the deal," echoing the Washington-Tel Aviv narrative. However, this framing is challenged by the omission of Israel’s role, particularly as military operations continue in Rafah and Khan Younis—actions described by human rights groups as a "genocidal war."

3. Contentious Issues That Reset Negotiations to Zero

Even after Israel’s initial approval of a mediation proposal and Hamas’s conditional acceptance, fundamental disagreements persist:

* Prisoner Lists: Who determines which Palestinian detainees are released? How are negotiations managed for the release of 10 living Israeli captives and 18 bodies?

* Humanitarian Aid: Mechanisms for delivery and distribution, ensuring aid isn’t weaponized.

* Military Withdrawal: Israel’s demand to retain control over a third of Gaza (e.g., the "Mowrag Corridor") versus Palestinian rejection of any permanent military presence.

* Post-War Guarantees: Who ensures compliance with a ceasefire? Who governs Gaza the day after?

4. Political Momentum or Stalling Tactics?

Benjamin Netanyahu’s recent visit to Washington and U.S. officials’ talk of a "potential breakthrough" raise questions: Is the U.S. genuinely seeking a resolution, or using negotiations as cover for prolonged military operations—especially given its historical envoys’ pro-Israel bias?

Conclusion

As the question looms—"Can a truce be achieved soon?"—the answer hinges on moving beyond one-sided narratives and unilateral pressures. Balanced perspectives, like balanced demands, are the only path to stopping Gaza’s bloodshed. Until then, "delayed optimism" will dominate, with hope receding into the unknown.

Final Word:
"No white smoke without extinguishing the fire first."