jordan pulse -

By Dr. Rashid Al-Shashani
​Between the exaggerations of proponents of the "Conspiracy against the Nation" theory—who rushed to characterize the flydubai incident as an operation orchestrated by Netanyahu as a plot to escape an electoral crisis—and an oversimplified media and official narrative reducing the event to a altercation that "may carry terrorist motives," our military mindset cannot conceal its lack of surprise. Advanced intelligence apparatuses, chief among them the Mossad, utilize public confusion as a key element for the success of an operation, or at least for concealing its failure, capitalizing on widespread credulity to achieve such ends.
​At the outset, there is no doubt that Netanyahu’s utmost desire is a blunder by Iran or its proxies that would allow him to push the U.S. toward supporting a strike against Iran. Nor is there doubt that Trump seeks to leverage Netanyahu’s momentum toward "crumbling the rocks or gravel beneath Iran's feet." However, neither leader could bear the responsibility that would have resulted from the completion of this incident had it fully unfolded. More importantly, naïve perceptions regarding the institutions of states led by figures like Trump and Netanyahu wrongly assume they can maneuver agencies like Mossad and the CIA through petty tactics akin to lower-tier apparatuses.
​Moving beyond that, our military perspective suggests potential scenarios that can be framed within specific possibilities. The first is an intelligence plot by the Mossad executed through "elemental infiltration"—meaning a breach behind official institutions by factions interested in embarrassing and damaging Netanyahu, namely the opposition. However, the opposition alone could not bear such responsibility without an American dimension aligned with the Obama-era faction, necessitating U.S. intelligence assistance via the same "elemental infiltration" method to target Trump as well. The ultimate goal of the planners, had the operation succeeded, may have been to embroil Trump in a military strike against Iran at a moment of unreadiness to strike or absorb counterattacks, effectively leading to Netanyahu's downfall.
​This scenario does not diverge from the same underlying objective when considering another operational outcome: creating mid-air confusion that forces a military engagement involving Israel across the airspace of multiple countries. This would expand the conflict into neighboring regions where Israel currently seeks calm, thereby collapsing Trump’s calculations.
​Regarding the reported altercation between the pilot and his co-pilot, intelligence doubts point toward a possible prior agreement between them, with the dispute arising over execution priorities or the distribution of gains. An even more likely possibility is that the operation was arranged with the knowledge of one pilot, or both operating independently without knowing the other was involved, leading to a clash due to a coordination error. None of this rules out the operation being executed via a "domino chain" technique, where each participant believes they are working for a different, fabricated entity.
​This picture reveals an indispensable element in the scenario that never relied solely on either pilot: the "intervention crew" claimed to be passengers on board, who managed with the dexterity of trained operatives to resolve the crisis at that precise moment. The crisis was evidently moving in a direction that suddenly shifted, prompting this team to step in unexpectedly.
​Finally, none of these aspects will be revealed by the black box data, nor will its findings alter the underlying structural facts regardless of the outcome. However, the most intriguing question remains: did the plan succeed, amidst the chaos, fear, and urgency, in effecting a specific intelligence breach by planting or establishing a target intelligence point, or by conducting reconnaissance to gauge reactions or the ability to contain a similar crisis?
​Source: Rum News Agency